Russia & CIS

May, 59, will succeed David Cameron, who announced he was stepping down after Britons unexpectedly voted last month to quit the EU.

Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev: “There is a very active dynamics in negotiations on Karabakh conflict settlement.”

NATO Secretary General: "Both Azerbaijan and Armenia are valuable partners."

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has arrived in Baku on a two-day working visit.

The agreement on the coordination of railways of Azerbaijan and Iran was signed in Tehran on Feb. 23.

The incident happened shortly after take off at around 12.20pm when reports say a fire broke out on board.

President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko will pay an official visit to Azerbaijan on July 13-14.

How much politics is there in the story about the prohibition for Russian athletes to participate in the Summer Olympics in connection with the alleged use of doping drugs? Interestingly, the biggest scandal in the history of WADA was connected with too many positive samples at the World Athletic Championship in the USA

The Central Bank of Azerbaijan has declared an official manat to dollar rate as of July 12.

"This problem requires a complex approach."

Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov is visiting Azerbaijan, AzerTag reports.

Deputy PM Numan Kurtulmus says work is underway to grant 'useful' and 'non-terror related' Syrians Turkish citizenship.

During the recent weeks, NATO military officials have made quite a few attempts to demonstrate the power and the resources of the alliance to Russia. The results of those demonstrations have turned out to be somewhat surprising. The state of affairs inside NATO objectively reflects the state of affairs in Europe, and in the West in general

Has a letter from Turkish President Erdogan solved all the problems in the Russian-Turkish relations? Have the relations between the two countries returned back to normal? It is believed that the apology from Turkey came as a formal step. The Turks, apparently, do not suggest anything else to recover the bilateral ties with Russia

Russia plans to conduct flight tests of the new heavy intercontinental ballistic missile Sarmat. The state-of-the-art ICBM is expected to come into service in 2018. Sarmat missiles will replace most powerful ballistic complexes RS-20V Voevoda. The new ICBM should be able to reach and strike targets via both the North and the South Pole

In the last 24 hours, more information has come out on yesterday’s purge of the Baltic Fleet command structure. First of all, the size of the purge is unprecedented, with around 50 high ranking officers being removed, including squadron and brigade commanders. Second, it is highly unusual for removals of top military officials (or of any senior officials in present-day Russia) to be public and openly for cause, rather than officially being described as being for health reasons or because the individual(s) were ready to retire.

Clearly, for the purge to be so large and so open, the misconduct in the Baltic Fleet had to be very serious and very widespread. Yulia Nikitina and Irina Tumakova from Fontanka.ru have published a long article documenting the faults attributed to the fleet’s now-former leadership. The condition of the fleet under Viktor Kravchuk had supposedly declined when compared to how it was under his predecessors, who received much less financing than he did in the last four years.

Nikitina and Tumakova discuss unconfirmed rumors about a collision between the recently completed Krasnodar diesel submarine and a Polish vessel (variously described as either an intelligence collection ship or Poland’s single remaining Kilo submarine). They also mention the poor state of housing for Baltic Fleet officers and obvious failures during recent exercises, such as when a submarine that was towed out to sea started to emit smoke rather than submerging and had to be returned to pier for repairs.

But if that was the extent of the problems, the leadership change is unlikely to have been so broad or so public. The most likely cause for the way this purge has been carried out is corruption. As Nikitina and Tumakova note, back in 2012 Kravchuk was tasked with creating the Kaliningrad defense region, a large  joint military grouping that is to combine naval, aviation, and ground forces units under the command of the Baltic Fleet commander. At that time, Kravchuk was given command of strike aviation, air defense units, Iskander units (when located in Kaliningrad) and four infantry brigades that make up the 11th army corps.

The establishment of the 11th Army Corps required the construction of barracks, housing, and other facilities. The money that was allocated to these tasks was spent elsewhere or embezzled and the command proved to be unprepared to take in the additional troops. Furthermore, Kravchuk was known to have close ties with criminal “authorities” in Kaliningrad, including the “Amber baron” Viktor Bogdan, who, in addition to cornering the amber trade in the region seems to have also been involved in stealing diesel fuel from Baltic Fleet ships.

In other words, the Baltic Fleet purge appears to be a signal to other Russian military commanders (including mid-level ones) that corruption that has a negative effect on combat readiness will not be tolerated and will result in punishment far more severe than the usual honorable retirement given to senior officials who misbehave.

 

For decades, Western military officials have talked about the Russian military capabilities and strategy as outdated and obsolete. they would say that the Russian Air Force was more stupid than smart, while the Russian navy was rusty. However, Russia's military capabilities of recent years have left the West in a state of shock

Today, the Russian Ministry of Defense announced that the commander (Vice Admiral Viktor Kravchuk) and chief of staff (Rear Admiral Sergei Popov) of the Baltic Fleet were both fired for cause, as were several other unnamed senior officials at the fleet. This was the largest mass replacement of senior naval officials in the Russian Navy since the Soviet period. The official statement indicated that the removal was the result of serious shortcomings in the officers’ work that were revealed in a month-long review of the fleet’s performance that concluded on June 10. The official notice highlighted “serious shortcomings in organizing combat training, daily activities of their units, poor care of their subordinates as well as misrepresenting the real situation in their reports.”

Although Kravchuk has his defenders, it appears that his removal  was the result of real shortcomings, although combined with external factors that made his removal relatively easy to carry out. Ilya Kramnik and Konstantin Bogdanov have done some very interesting reporting on this subject. They argue that these shortcomings include the unsatisfactory performance of Baltic Fleet minesweepers during exercises that took place in August 2015, combined with a low level of combat readiness among the fleet’s newest ships. The fleet’s four Project 20380 Steregushchiy class corvettes have not deployed to the Mediterranean Sea or Indian Ocean a single time in the nine years since the first of the ships was commissioned into the fleet. Furthermore, the ships have had more than their share of accidents and fires.

In addition to questions about the fleet’s combat readiness, the commanders were also criticized for inadequate living conditions for personnel stationed at the fleet’s bases. The commanders were given until this spring to correct the problems in both areas, and today’s announcement shows that the recently completed review found them still wanting.

Kravchuk’s enforced departure was smoothed by the replacement last winter of the Commander of the Russian Navy, Admiral Viktor Chirkov, who was removed in November 2015 officially because of health concerns. Chirkov, who had been Kravchuk’s patron in the navy for many years, was rumored to have also been removed due to complaints about inadequate readiness in some units — in his case naval infantry and support ships. These problems had come to a head because of increased requirements related to the Syrian Express operation for supplying Syrian and then Russian troops in Syria with military equipment.

Kramnik and Bogdanov note that although problems at the Baltic Fleet may have been particularly noticeable, they do not differ that much from problems evident in Russia’s other fleets. The reason that the leadership of the Baltic Fleet was chosen may be more a factor of the fleet’s relative lack of importance in present-day Russian operations. Therefore, today’s announcement may also serve as a warning to the commanders of the other fleets that they need to improve their work or face similar consequences.

 

Russian President Vladimir Putin concluded his official visit to China. The head of state held meetings with Chinese leader Xi Jinping and other representatives of the top political leadership of China. Russia builds a nuclear power plant in Taiwan - two power units have been launched with Russians participation

Russia and Turkey have agreed to take necessary measures to improve relations between the two countries. On June 27, President Putin received a message from his Turkish counterpart, in which Erdogan apologized for killing the pilot of the downed Su-24 Russian bomber. Erdogan also expressed his willingness to restore friendly relations with Russia